How to tell it is working
Checkpoints, and what it means if you miss them
A plan you cannot falsify is not a plan. Agree these before the work starts, so a bad quarter is caught in week six rather than argued about in month four.
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Not this quarter
What you are dropping, and why
This is the half of the plan nobody writes down. Take it to the meeting — a list of decisions is far easier to defend than a list of tasks.
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Not doing, on purpose
Things this plan refuses
Popular in your situation, and not worth your quarter. If an agency proposes one of these, ask what it displaces.
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How to read this
What the labels mean, and where this model is weak
Every activity carries two labels: what it is for, and how confident I am that the mechanism works. A tool that asserts everything with equal certainty is not one you should trust.
MeasureProduces no traffic on its own. It tells you whether everything else is working, and stops you fixing the wrong thing.
ProtectDefends traffic or revenue you already have. Capped upside, uncapped downside if you skip it, and the first thing an inexperienced plan leaves out.
CaptureGoes after traffic you do not have. Higher ceiling, longer runway, and the first casualty when capacity runs out.
DocumentedGoogle documents the mechanism, or the effect is mechanical: remove the block and the page can rank. Plan around these with confidence.
ConsensusNo official confirmation, but consistent enough across sites and practitioners that I would plan around it. Most of SEO lives here.
Judgement callA bet. Plausible mechanism, I have seen it work, and outcomes vary enough that promising one would be dishonest. Fund these as experiments, never as commitments.
Where this model is weak
The priority order is my judgement, written down as numbers. Every activity carries a base score and a set of adjustments for your model, scale, competition and market, and I set each of those figures by hand from client work — not from a dataset, and not from anything I can show you a regression for. They are calibrated opinions whose job is to produce a defensible order, not a measurement. Two items a few points apart are effectively tied, which is why this tool never shows you a score: a two-digit number would imply a precision that is not there. Argue with the sequence, which is the real claim.
Capacity is modelled crudely, on purpose. Three separate budgets — your time, engineering, writing — with a heavy activity costing roughly five times a light one, divided across the three phases. It is a sanity check against a plan that assumes more hours than exist, not a resourcing model. It is also why the summary counts jobs per person rather than quoting a percentage of your capacity: a percentage of an invented budget is precisely the number that ends up in a board deck and cannot survive the first question about it.
It has never seen your site. Fourteen answers is not an audit. Real plans change once somebody opens Search Console and finds the thing nobody mentioned, and that happens more often than not.
It deliberately does not forecast traffic. A traffic forecast requires assuming a target position, a click-through rate and stable search volume — three numbers nobody can know in advance. Multiply three guesses and you get a precise-looking figure carrying no information. Sequencing and timing are the parts that are actually knowable, so those are what you get here.
It does not model who owns page one. A result dominated by marketplaces, an AI Overview absorbing the answer, or a page mostly of ads changes what is winnable more than several of the inputs above. Check the SERPs for your ten most valuable terms before committing to any of this.
Every timing assumes the work is done well. A refresh that adds words rather than value produces nothing on any timeline, and the model cannot tell the difference between the two.
A core update inside your window overrides all of it. Rankings move hardest during rollouts, and banked work often lands in bulk at exactly that moment. Annotate the dates, and never judge a quarter that contains one.